An Official Welcome to Daily Fantasy Nascar at Daily Roto Sharks!
So here’s the deal, since we’re a new site and Nascar is a pretty new DFS entry, we decided to offer up some free lineups for this weekend before launching our subscription options on Monday. Normally, I would be glued to the TV and my laptop during the race, stressing over ever little detail, but I’ll be on a beach somewhere instead. I still want to be somewhat connected to whats going on with the race, and with the people that take my advice for their lineups, so I want you all to tweet me screenshots of your lineups in action, especially final results. Whether you use any or all of my free lineup set, or if you use my ratings to create your own lineup, I’ll pick 1 random follower that tweets me a screenshot and offer them a free lineup set for next weekends race as well.
My twitter handle is @DRS_JSchroe, give me a follow and keep those screenshots flowing tomorrow!
The Model
I’ve developed this model over the last week or so to give weighted value to a bunch of different factors. It uses Nascar Race Data dating back to 2005, looking at Driver Rating, a calculation of past Draftkings points, historical driver data, track data, track type data, starting position, practice and qualifying results and a bunch of other fun stuff. Eventually, we might offer the tool as a download option for certain subscription levels, but for now I’ll be running it and posting the results. Below is a screen shot if you didn’t catch it on my twitter this morning.
Lineups
Because of the volatility of Nascar, mostly due to the randomness of crashes, I like to enter multiple lineups. My model is designed to create a set of lineups that work together, no lineup will have more than 2 drivers in common with any other lineup. So if someone wrecks, it wont ruin your day.
During the subscription offering, and for races where there are more points available (more laps!), I’ll likely do 1 or 2 full 10 lineup sets for cash games and GPPs, though I don’t expect them to be drastically different (it’s tough when you’re picking 6 of 43 drivers, thats almost 14% of the whole field). For this week, I spun up a 5-lineup set, with only 90 laps I just don’t see a ton of advantage with different lineup types for different games. I’ll likely test out some GPP and Cash game options for my personal lineups, so that I have something to post about in the review on Monday.
Here is your free, 5-lineup set for tomorrows race at Watkins Glen.
Driver Values
If you prefer to manually create lineups, for whatever reason, here are my driver value ratings. An Overall Value of 1 is the average, above is better, below is worse. The Net Value uses the difference between the Overall Value and the Expected Value based on Salary, so here a positive value means they are likely to be worth the money and a negative would mean otherwise.
That’s all I’ve got for now. Remember to tweet me screenshots tomorrow during the race, once again my twitter handle is @DRS_JSchroe. Good luck to all, and enjoy the race!
